Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.009531 0.011353 0.013579 0.016550 0.020493 0.025670 0.033201
2025-05-18 0.007040 0.009063 0.011834 0.016067 0.022694 0.033328 0.053346
2025-05-25 0.005615 0.007566 0.010427 0.015190 0.023538 0.039092 0.075468
2025-06-01 0.004742 0.006604 0.009477 0.014589 0.024408 0.045239 0.105320
2025-06-08 0.004287 0.006161 0.009197 0.014968 0.027164 0.057071 0.169261
2025-06-15 0.003844 0.005654 0.008695 0.014777 0.028653 0.067174 0.253839
2025-06-22 0.003397 0.005072 0.007957 0.013928 0.028303 0.072032 0.333947
2025-06-29 0.003153 0.004798 0.007718 0.014035 0.030360 0.086774 0.560340
2025-07-06 0.002997 0.004651 0.007686 0.014574 0.033860 0.111618 1.187351
2025-07-13 0.002912 0.004620 0.007866 0.015648 0.039604 0.157435 4.130587
2025-07-20 0.002782 0.004488 0.007821 0.016167 0.043955 0.207664 20.992329
2025-07-27 0.002622 0.004280 0.007587 0.016142 0.046401 0.253673 276.263993
2025-08-03 0.002452 0.004056 0.007328 0.016101 0.049385 0.324803 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002268 0.003788 0.006942 0.015634 0.050458 0.388773 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002081 0.003497 0.006465 0.014788 0.049323 0.423790 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001932 0.003269 0.006104 0.014209 0.049222 0.483273 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001857 0.003181 0.006052 0.014574 0.054451 0.717319 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001757 0.003035 0.005845 0.014390 0.056581 0.932802 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001633 0.002829 0.005471 0.013571 0.054328 0.974657 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001568 0.002741 0.005373 0.013675 0.058199 1.431460 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001528 0.002702 0.005392 0.014195 0.065714 2.719541 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001512 0.002713 0.005537 0.015230 0.079116 8.674285 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001473 0.002670 0.005539 0.015730 0.089263 31.008719 NaN